Week 3 NFL: Late Afternoon Games and Nightcap!
My late afternoon parlay hit last weekend and you were able to double your money, so it only makes sense to keep it rolling with picks for this week!
Late Afternoon Games
Carolina Panthers (+230) vs. Los Angelas Chargers (-280)... Spread: Chargers (-6.5)
It's Justin Herbert's time in Los Angelas. Thanks to the team doctor puncturing Tyrod Taylor's lung, Herbert was able to make his first career appearance and he looked very solid in a close 23-20 overtime loss to the Kansas City Chiefs. In Week 2, he had 311 passing yards with 1 TD and 1 rushing TD. Herbert was drafted 6th overall in the 2020 NFL draft and it was only a matter of time before he took over as the starting QB. Another rookie that has been impressive for the Chargers is RB Joshua Kelly as he produced 113 yards from scrimmage in week 2. These rookies will look to have a big impact again against a Panthers team who has allowed over 30 points in both of their first 2 games. Also, the well-rounded Chargers defense should be able to disrupt QB Teddy Bridgwater and will be happy to not see all-star RB Christian McCaffrey in the backfield due to injury. I expect a dominant performance from the Chargers defense in week 3.
The Panthers on the other hand have been 'meh.' They are 0-2 with losses to the Las Vegas Raiders and the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. Now without McCaffrey, their offense will need a huge spark as they are lacking playmakers. McCaffrey is the main focal point of the offense and backup RB Mike Davis will have to play stellar if they have any chance to win. WR Robby Anderson has been a good addition to the WR core alongside D.J Moore, but I don't think it will be enough against a Chargers team that is trending up. I think the Chargers' Moneyline is a no brainer with McCaffrey out for the Panthers, and I can see Herbert gaining confidence and putting up big numbers in this game to cover the spread. Let's take the Chargers here to roll at home.
Prediction: Chargers -6.5(-105)
New York Jets (+420) vs. Indianapolis Colts (-640)... Spread: Colts (-11.5)
This game will probably be a shitshow. The Jets have been awful this season thus far and are 0-2 with losses to the Buffalo Bills and San Fransisco 49ers. Granted those 2 teams are good, but the Jets were never really close to winning. They are missing their top RB and WR in this game with Le'Veon Bell and Jamison Crowder not expecting to suit up. QB Sam Darnold may have the worst surrounding cast of all time this week against the Colts. The Colts got stunned by the Jacksonville Jaguars in week 1 but bounced back with a landslide 28-10 victory over the Minnesota Vikings in week 2. QB Philip Rivers is still settling in with his new team and I expect him to gradually get better with each game. Their top WR T.Y Hilton has been quiet the first 2 weeks of the season and this may be the game he breaks through against a weak Jets defense. As far as betting goes I wouldn't even touch this game considering how wide the line is, but if I had to pick I would go with the Colts to blow them out.
Prediction: Colts Spread -11.5 (-110)
Dallas Cowboys (+185) vs. Seattle Seahawks (-225)... Spread: Seahawks (-5)
I'm not sure what to make of the Cowboys yet after almost going to 0-2 if it weren't for an onside kick miracle against the Atlanta Falcons in week 2. They have also had some key injuries on both sides on the ball with the losses of LB Leighton Vander Esch and TE Blake Jarwin. While these players may not be household names to some people, they are major contributors to the Cowboys success. As always, the Cowboys offense has firepower in every position. QB Dak Prescott has put up massive numbers this season, and in week 2 he posted 450 passing yards with 1 TD, along with 3 rushing TD's. but, the defense has been the weakness of the Cowboys this year as they allowed 39 points against the Atlanta Falcons in week 2.
The Seahawks on the other hand were lucky to escape week 2 with a victory. Cam Newton on the New England Patriots had a chance to beat them on the last play of the game but was stuffed a couple of yards from the endzone. But, the Seahawks managed to put up 35 points against a solid Patriots defense and I have a feeling this game against the Cowboys will be a high scoring affair. QB Russell Wilson totaled 5 TD's with 288 passing yards and is still showing the young QB's in the league how it's done. The Seahawks have a balanced attack are led by emerging star WR D.K. Metcalf who will look to exploit the Cowboys secondary down the field. This game should be closer than the line indicates, but the Cowboys are hobbled on defense and this is not good when you face QB Russell Wilson. But, the Cowboys stacked offense gives them a chance to win and that is why I'm hesitant to take the Seahawks spread at -5. So, let's go with the Seahawks Moneyline in this one.
Prediction: Seahawks (-225)
Detroit Lions (+210) vs. Arizona Cardinals (-250)... Spread: Cardinals (-6)
Everything seems to be coming together for the Cardinals. They're off to a hot 2-0 start and are facing a Lions team that is 0-2 and looking to relish their season. The Cardinals are coming off a dominant 30-15 win over the Washington Football Team as they look to cruise by the Lions in week 3. It's been the 'Kyler Murray' show for the Cardinals so far with 2 big performances already. His ability to carve up defenses in the passing game and in the running game is what makes him special. He got 2 rushing TD's and 1 passing TD last week, so the 'defensive mastermind' Matt Patricia will have to come up with schemes for all aspects of Murray's game... while worrying about WR DeAndre Hopkins and RB Kenyan Drake as well. Despite everyone talking about their high powered offense, the Cardinals defense has been just as impressive by holding the 49ers to only 20 points in week 1, and the Washington Football Team to 15 points in week 2.
The Lions, despite being 0-2, I still think they're better than what their record shows on paper. The Lions were up big on the Chicago Bears before blowing the lead and ultimately losing, and they managed to hold Aaron Rodgers to just 240 passing yards on 18 completions. Also, the Lions are expected to have WR Kenny Golladay back after missing the first 2 games, which will be a huge addition to this offense. QB Matt Stafford was lacking playmakers in the first 2 games, and this will provide a huge boost to support the 3 headed monster at RB with Adrian Peterson, Kerryon Johnson, and rookie D'Andre Swift. I think they'll be hungry and desperate to get a win and because of that, I like them to cover the spread at 6 points. I don't see them beating the Cardinals straight up, but I think it will be closer than the line indicates.
Prediction: Lions Cover Spread (-105)
Tampa Bay Buccaneers (-250) vs. Denver Broncos (+210)... Spread: Bucs (-6)
Much like other teams around the NFL, the Broncos are devastated by injuries. They are without key players like LB Von Miller, CB A.J. Bouye, QB Drew Lock, WR Courtland Sutton, RB Phillip Lindsay.... etc. and I don't like them at all in this game, and for the rest of the year for that matter. They will be led by QB Jeff Driskel in this game and that is all you need to know for how I feel on this one from a betting perspective. Unless RB Melvin Gordon goes off and the defense can manage to get multiple turnovers, I can't see a scenario where the Broncos win. The Bucs will be at full force with WR Chris Godwin back to support QB Tom Brady who hasn't been overly impressive in a Bucs uniform. The Bucs are off to a 1-1 start after beating the Carolina Panthers in week 2 31-17. Despite winning, Brady only had 217 yards passing for 1 TD and 1 INT. It's tough to tell whether his rocky start is due to age or from joining a new squad, only time will tell But, Leonard Fournette has added a spark to the Bucs and he looks to be getting more comfortable in their offense. He had 103 rushing yards with 2 TD's in week 2 and is looking to take over Ronald Jones' lead back role. I feel confident taking the Bucs in this game, and I'd even take the spread at -6. This seems like a perfect opportunity for Brady and the Bucs offense to come together for big performance unless the Denver altitude is too much for old man Brady.
Prediction: Bucs Spread (-105)
Sunday Night Football
Green Bay Packers (+130) vs. New Orleans Saints (-150)... Spread: Saints (-3)
What do we make of the Saints? QB Drew Brees has been awful through 2 games, and it's been the Alvin Kamara show on offense thus far. RB Kamara had a huge week 2 performance with rushing 2 TD's and 79 rushing yards, AND 96 yards receiving. The Saints WR were brutal in the week 2 34-24 loss to the Raiders with WR Micheal Thomas sidelined. Thomas will not suit up for the Saints on Sunday night and the WR's on the Saints will need to step up if they have any chance of winning. More specifically, WR Emmanuel Sanders' 18-yard performance in week 2 cannot happen again against the Packers. But, as we all know, the Saints and Brees are much more efficient in their home stadium (dome), so I expect a better performance from them. The Packers might be without their top receiver as well as Davante Adams is listed as doubtful for this game. But, the Packers are 2-0 and have put up more than 40 points in each game as the Aaron Rodgers comeback tour is in full effect. RB Aaron Jones has been impressive as well, and in week 2 he had 236 yards from scrimmage with 3 total TD's. But, without the threat of Adams on the outside, the Saints will most definitely key in on Jones this week. Despite a brutal showing against the Raiders in week 2, I will take the Saints to bounce back with a big victory at home.
Prediction: Saints (-150)