UFC Vegas 11 Main Event Odds, Previews, and Predictions!
UFC Vegas 11 is a free fight card that everyone should tune into. I will dive into the co-main event and 2 other fights on the main card you won't want to miss!
Welterweight Matchup (170): Donald Cerrone (36-15-0) vs. Niko Price (14-4-0, 1NC)
We can expect fireworks in this one. We know these 2 guys love to fight and get into brawls. Price is a wild man and has a lot of highlight reel knockouts in the UFC (below). According to the UFC official stats, he has finished 71% of his victories by KO/TKO. He's coming off a war against Vicente Luque in May 2020 where he ultimately got put out via doctors stoppage in the 3rd round. Price will have a 3 inch reach advantage in this fight and will be the bigger man in that cage since Cerrone is not a natural 170er. Cerrone is 0-4 in his last 4 fights and seems to have durability issues at this point of his career. He has been KO/TKO'd 3 out of his last 4 fights to McGregor, Gaethje, and Ferguson. Also, his previous Welterweight fights have come against Pettis and McGregor, who are not not typical 170ers compared to Price. If Cerrone were to win this one, he has to play this fight very smart and not get sucked into a brawl because it seems like his power doesn't translate from 155 to 170. Cerrone might be the more well-rounded fighter, but I think power will prevail in this one. The true winner in this fight are the fans. Let's go with the younger and hungrier Price to take this one by KO/TKO.
Prediction: Price (-150)
Bulldogs Risky Pick: Price by KO/TKO (+110)
2 Fights 2 Keep Your Eye On
Middleweight Matchup (185): Khamzat Chimaev (8-0-0) vs. Gerald Meerschaert (31-13-0)
He's back. Chimaev is one of the most hyped prospects in the UFC. But, this will be his first true test against the veteran Meerschaert. This will be a huge step up in competition for Chimaev as he is coming off 2 big wins on Fight Island. On Fight Island, he put himself on everyone's radar with dominant performances over John Phillips and Rhys McKee. Chimaev is a 26 year old Russian who fights out of Allstars Training Center in Sweden with Alexander Gustafsson. Dana White has already booked a fight for Chimaev against Demian Maia after this fight but Meerschaert should pose some challenges to Chimaev (maybe not who knows). Meerschaert is a black belt in BJJ, so I don't expect the blue belt Chimaev to out match him on the ground. However, Meerschaert is 2-4 in his last 6 fights and is coming off a quick 1st round KO loss to Ian Heinisch. With that being said, he has been in the octagon with much better competition than Chimaev, so his record is deceiving. Meerschaert is very good on the ground and is tied for the most submissions in the division (23 sub wins in his career!). He is very active off his back and Chimaev has to watch his neck when he shoots for takedowns. However, Meerschaert is not the best striker and that's where I see Chimaev exploiting him in this fight. Chimeav packs more power in his punch and this may be the first time we get to see his standup game. Let's ride the hype train and take Chimaev by KO/TKO on the feet or with top control on the ground.
Prediction: Chimaev (-450)
Bulldogs Risky Pick: Chimaev by KO/TKO (+155)
Light Heavyweight (205): Johnny Walker (17-5-0) vs. Ryan Spann (18-5-0)
Walker was one of the most hyped prospects in the Light Heavyweight division until he got stopped by Corey 'the GOAT' Anderson in November 2019. He now finds himself on a 2 fight losing streak after losing again to Nikita Krylov in March 2020. This will be the most important fight of his career as he looks to avoid going on a 3 fight skid. He has been gym hoping frequently for his last couple fights and recently trained at Tristar gym with Firas Zahabi. But, for this fight, he did his training camp at SBG Ireland with John Kavanagh and he claims he's found a home there. This should be a good matchup for Walker as Spann is a striker as well, and is also a step down in competition compared to his previous opponents. However, Spann is no joke. He is on a 8 fight win streak overall and 4-0 in the UFC. But, his competition has been sub-par as his last fight was against Sam Alvey, who should be retired. He barely won that fight by split decision and I am not confident that he will outlast an extremely hungry Walker. Spann has better and crisper boxing than Walker, but Walker is unorthodox and has many more tools on the feet. I'm expecting a lot of finishes on this card, so let's go with Walker to score a highlight reel KO/TKO.
Prediction: Walker (-140)
Bulldogs Risky Pick: Walker by KO/TKO (+120)