NFL Week 6 Early games Picks, Preview and Odds
For some reason, the NFL thought it would be a good idea to pack 9 games all in the 1 pm slot with only 2 games at 4 pm this week. I mean I am sure watching NFL RedZone will be sweet when Scott Hanson pops a boner when he puts 9 kickoffs on the screen at one time. He can barely control himself when he talking about the octobox kickoffs but if my research(google search) is correct a nine-sided shape is called an enneagon, so I can only imagine how fast he will blow his load when he introduces the Enneabox. (Scott Hanson Voice) Let's get into the ENNEABOX of games this week.
Atlanta Falcons at Minnesota Vikings
The Falcons finally did it...no no not won a game, they still have to do that this year. They fired Dan Quinn. By no means was he a terrible NFL coach but since the Flacons lost in the Super Bowl and offensive coordinator Kyle Shanahan took the 49ers job the Falcons have been a mess offensively and even worse defensively. Dan Quinn must have left his defensive guru playbook at one of the Legion of Boom member's house. In regards to this game tho it's hard to judge what changes interim-coach Raheem Morris will be able to make in the one week he’s been head coach but at least Julio Jones is playing, which is a big bump for their offense. I don’t want to talk about the defense it hasn’t been good but maybe the coaching change will have an impact.
The Vikings and Kirk Cousins' blew a game in prime time, who would have thought. Realistically it's hard to blame Kirk as the defense got torched and all they needed was a 1 yard run on fourth and 1 to end the game. Dalvin Cook is out of this game but Alexander Mattison has shown in the past that there is not too much of a drop-off when he has been given the chance to start at RB. The young defense has looked better but can't be trusted until Danielle Hunter is back healthy and playing.
The Falcons bring a lot of wild cards into this game. How healthy is Julio? Will Raheem Morris as Interim coach change anything? Is Matt Ryan a dead man walking after the owner openly said he’s not committing to Ryan past this year? This is a game the Falcons can win with their offense but they are going up against a Vikings team that is improving every week. Neither defense is good right now but the Vikings offense has started to find its way in the post Steffon Diggs era and will pull away from the Falcons with their more consistent offensive attack.
Vikings -4 (-115)
Chicago Bears at Carolina Panthers
Two teams who not many predicted to be above .500 square off with the Panthers as 1 point favorites.
The Bears made a field goal to win a game and now sit 4-1 on the season. Not even Bears fans could see this coming, as the Bears have been one of the worst offensive teams in football in the first half, but have been able to somehow put it all together and score just enough second-half points to win the game. The offensive line took a big hit as their already brutal run game will be missing their best run blocker James Daniels for the rest of the year. Khalil Mack and the defensive line showed out in week 5 but other than that the Bears have looked very mediocre on the defensive side of the ball.
Matt Rhule might actually be a good coach, I mean I don't know how long Teddy Bridgewater dump-offs to ChrisMike McDavis and slants to Robby Anderson ending in a Joey Slye field goal will win games but overall the team has improved since week 1. The bad news for the improving Carolina defense is both DE Yetur Gross-Matos and DT Kawann Short who are two of their best players were put on IR. If Brian Burns misses this game too Carolina will have a very tough time creating any pass rush at all.
The Panthers' defense will have a tough time stopping the run, the only problem is the Bears have had a tough time running the football. So one of those will have to give and the Bears have faced two of the top ten run defenses in the NFL in the past two weeks so I'm betting it will be the Bears that get it going. The Bears have been able to limit passing attacks this year, while they have not played too many top-end receivers the Bears will be able to score enough and let their defense do the rest. Bears win.
Bears +1 (-105) and or Moneyline depending on the Odds you are offered.
Baltimore Ravens at Philadephia Eagles
The Ravens are large road favorites with Vegas expecting them to beat down the Eagles.
Defensively the Ravens aside from the KC game have arguably been better than last year and as they showed last week that they can really take advantage of weak offensive lines. Offensively they have created their chances but the biggest problem is Lamar Jackson who is a QB, and not an RB has been missing the majority of his deep passes. It's no secret they like to run the ball but the Ravens will need to start connecting on their deep passes to become a more consistent offense.
I honestly don't know if the Eagles even know the names of half the players that are playing for them right now. The Injury report just keeps getting bigger and bigger with almost no one ever getting healthy enough to play. Wentz finally showed signs of being a good QB again as he connected with Travis Fulgham all over the field. The Eagles best o-lineman Lane Johnson is out of this game and that is scary news for Carson Wentz. The defense is also dealing with multiple injuries and has been thrown on at will.
The Ravens like to bully teams with bad offensive lines like they did last week to Cincinnati. The Eagles offensive line without Lane Johnson is terrible and Carson Wentz will be running for his life for the majority of the game. While the Ravens offense hasn't looked good it will be set up to succeed with positive field position and facing a defense that can't stop the pass. The Ravens score on both sides of the ball and win the battle of the birds.
Ravens -10 (-110)
Cincinnati Bengals at Indianapolis Colts
The Colts coming off their second loss of the season and are big home favorites.
Joe Burrow might be killed before the season is over, as I swear every time he dropped back last week he was getting hit. Add AJ Green who in the video below looks like he really doesn't want to play for the Bengals right now. It looks rough for an offense that showed a lot of promise to start the season. Defensively the Bengals have actually graded out as the second-best coverage team in the NFL but they have also played 3 bottom 5 passing offenses and Tyrod Taylor was at QB when they played the Chargers. The Bengals have had real trouble stopping the run which could be another reason people don't pass on them. Injuries will be a big problem too while Geno Atkins is back the Bengals are now without DT D.J. Reader, DE Sam Hubbard, and DT Mike Daniels.
Most teams above .500 don't usually talk about if their starting should be benched or not but that just how bad noodle arm Phillip Rivers has been. I mean he has 4 TDs with 5 INTS in 5 games thats getting close to Nathan Peterman numbers. The good news for the Colts is their defense has been very good and is one of the main reasons Rivers hasn’t had to be good for the Colts to still win games. Starting LT Anthony Costanzo is questionable and when he is out the Colts offense suffers as the backup LT allowed Phillip Rivers to constantly get pressured from his blindside.
I was mean to Phillip Rivers in the preview but no one really thought he had much arm left and more the blame needs to be put on the Colts run game. The Colts are hoping with their offensive line and super rookie Jonathan Taylor that this is the game they finally starting running all over everyone. The Bengals can't stop the run or block for Joe Burrow and those are the two things that Colts like to lean on. I expect Burrow to be running for his life again and the Colts to finally get the running game going. Colts win.
Colts -7.5 (-110)
Cleveland Browns at Pittsburgh Steelers
The Browns are only 3.5 dogs on the road against the Steelers... what year is this.
The Browns are 4-1 and one of the best teams in football right now. A lot of the Browns strength comes from their ability to control the game with their elite o-line and run game. It's very similar to the Ravens offense as the Browns are built around the run and have had trouble throwing the ball consistently but Mayfield has been much better than he was last year. The defense is a different story as the secondary has been struggling with injuries and also covering the other teams' WRs. The linebackers are a big weak point for the Browns but thankfully Myles Garrett is on God mode this year and sacking the QB non-stop. As it stands now Baker, Odell and Jarvis are on track to play. RG Wyatt Teller the best-run blocker in the NFL this season will be out of this game.
The only game the Steelers didn't win this year was one postponed due to covid. Chase "MapleTron" Claypool could be the best WR of all time or that could easily be the biggest game of his career, but either way, the Steelers have drafted another playmaker at WR. The Steeler's defense has been scary when it comes to trying to run the ball against them but the secondary has not been good and allowed Travis Fulgham to catch everything thrown to him last week. WR Dionte Johnson is out but more importantly, Guard David DeCastro won't be playing, which is a big loss for the Steelers.
The best rushing attack takes on the best rushing defense, I feel like it's just going to end up in the Browns throwing the ball a lot more than they usually do. The Steelers bring a lot more balanced attack but have done so against not the best of competition. This game is a great indicator of how good the Steelers are this year. With both teams struggling to stop the pass, I see this game ending up as a possible shootout. With not much separating these two teams I don't see either team pulling away and the Browns keeping it close enough to cover the 3.5.
Browns +3.5 (-120)
O 51.0 (-110)
Detroit Lions at Jacksonville Jaguars
Lions 1-3 coming off the bye are 3 point road favorites.
The Lions are coming of out the bye with a solid game plan to beat the Jaguars... well you would hope so or this could be Matt Patricia's last game as the head coach. The Lions have not looked very good this year but with Stafford having all his weapons for the last two games and Swift getting more involvement it has a lot of room for improvement. The defensive side of the ball is a different story as yes Lions keep blowing double-digit leads somewhat due to their terrible play calling in the second half but they also have trouble stopping anyone.
The Jaguars are the first team ever to give a winless team there first win in three straight weeks, thats not good. The Jaguars' defense is bad but they are much better with LB Myles Jack and DB CJ Henderson who are both playing. WR DJ Chark is likely to play which is big as the Jaguars offense has shown major limitations without him.
This game is a mess defensively as neither team has shown any ability to stop anyone. Stafford looks like he is getting back to the MVP level he was to start last season, which will force the Jaguars to keep up offensively. Gardner Minshew has shown some ability to lead this offense but the Jags have had a tough time limiting mistakes. Lions as usual will try to lose the lead in the second half by running the ball every play with Adrian Peterson but the Jags run d is bad enough that they will pull it off. Lions win.
Lions -3 (-115)
Denver Broncos at New England Patriots
Off their tandem covid bye with the Broncos the Patriots are big home favorites.
The Broncos have just been waiting all week to find out if this game was actually going to happen and thankfully it's on. The Broncos with #1 WR Courtland Sutton our for the year, Phillip Lindsay injured, and Drew Lock missing a couple of games have had a hard time producing any consistent offense. Lock and Lindsay are back, which is huge but then of course Melvin Gordon had to have a few too many beers and is out of this game. The Broncos just continue to put more defensive starters on IR as it's getting harder and harder to name any of their starters.
New England Patriots
The Patriots are coming off a tough loss where they kept it close for most of the game and could have won if Cam Newton was not out of the game with covid. Newton is back and the offense should be back to normal and will continue to get better. The Patriots defense early season has been dealing with all the Covid opt-outs and has been very below average. A very healthy team coming off a bye week the Patriots should be much improved on both sides of the ball in this game.
Drew Lock coming off his shoulder injury will be thrown right to the dogs playing the Patriots on the road. The Patriots coming off a bye even if it's forced due to Covid are always impressive and the defense can only get better as the season goes on. Cam Newton has been impressive this season and the Broncos won't be able to slow him down. Pats win.
Patriots -8 (-110)
Houston Texans at Tennessee Titans
Titans don't have covid anymore and are home favorites.
The Texans got a win and all they needed to do it was fire good ole Butt Chin, Bill O'Brien. The Texans still showcased that their offense can still be elite when in a positive match up as Deshaun Watson found out Brandon Cooks plays on the team and Cooks put up 161 yards receiving. To put it nicely the Texans defensively are terrible and especially when it comes to stoping the other teams running back from running the football. LB Benardrick McKinney now on IR things only get worse for the Texans defense.
The Titans showed last week that illegally practicing at the local high school can lead to you having your most impressive win of the season against the Buffalo Bills. The Titans have not been able to run the ball yet as Derrick Henry still is looking to get over 4 yards-per-carry on the season but Ryan Tannehill has continued to be impressive and could be the best Adam Gase Survivor of all time. The Titans defense is not good and if the turnover luck is not there like it was last week the Titans are going to have to continue to put up points.
Divisional games in the AFC south always end up as slop fest and I don't see this one being any different. Both teams should be able to put up points at will, as these two impressive QBs battle it out. The Texans are a better team than their record and turnover luck aside the Titans don't have the defense to slow Watson. I still see the Titans possible winning a close one with a late field goal but the Texans cover.
Texans +3.5 (-105)
Washington Football Team at New York Giants
This is the only time the Giants will be favored at home probably this whole year.
Washington Football Team
Ron Rivera has cancer and right now his biggest concern is about how much longer he has to watch his team's terrible QB play. The Offense is a mess and the defense is dealing with major injuries. Overall it's not a great time to be a Washington fan. QB Kyle Allen is back tho.
New York Giants
The Giants are still winless on the season and this is probably their best chance to get one. Their defense has been impressive for the most part considering what it was last year with James Bradberry looking like the best defensive signing in all of freeageny. Daniel Jones still a work in progress and can't seem to throw a touch down to save Ron Rivera's life. The Giants should have their best offensive weapon in Darius Slayton as even though he is listed as Questionable he is expected to play.
The Giants are desperate for a win this week and will be set up for success. This game though sets up to be another divisional mess. I expect a lot of fumbles and interceptions from both teams but the Giants just have more skill and will be a lot more desperate for their first win of the season. The winner of this one is basically almost first in the division and the Giants be one to take it.